A comparison of two business cycle dating methods

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Scopus includes citations from articles published in 1996 onwards, and Web of Science® generally from 1980 onwards.A relationship with a Narcissist has been compared to being on a roller coaster, with immense highs and immense lows.Our approach is valid in a wider range of circumstances. Harding and Pagan find the latter rule more appealing on grounds of transparency, robustness, simplicity, and replicability.This helps explain why economic models and predictors that work well at some times do poorly at other times.We discuss challenges for forecasters and empirical researchers in light of the updated business cycle facts. ABSTRACT: This paper explores the disconnect of Federal Reserve data from index number theory.It’s like I’m always chasing a carrot at the end of a stick. I feel like I only do things because I’m supposed to, because society does it.

Don Harding and Adrian Pagan () Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2003, vol. 27, issue 9, 1681-1690 Date: 2003 References: View references in Econ Papers View complete reference list from Cit Ec Citations View citations in Econ Papers (109) Track citations by RSS feed Downloads: (external link) Full text for Science Direct subscribers only Related works: This item may be available elsewhere in Econ Papers: Search for items with the same title. Export reference: Persistent link: Papers.repec.org/Re PEc:eee:dyncon:v:27:y:2003:i:9:p:1681-1690 Access Statistics for this article Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control is currently edited by J. We compare these with dating rules in an algorithm that provides a good approximation to the chronology determined by the NBER.We find that there is very little that is attractive in the MS approach when compared with this algorithm.

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